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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Spezia Calcio logo

Napoli
1 - 0
Spezia

Raspadori (89')
Elmas (71'), Spalletti (82'), Spalletti (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gyasi (45'), Dragowski (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 4-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Bologna
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Spezia

Balancing duties at home and abroad will prove a tough task for Napoli, but given their visitors' current form and their own increasing squad depth, they are set to secure a third straight victory - and their first top-flight win over Spezia at the Maradona. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawSpezia
78.42% (-1.568 -1.57) 13.62% (0.579 0.58) 7.95% (0.983 0.98)
Both teams to score 50.04% (3.081 3.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.74% (1.102 1.1)32.25% (-1.107 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.13% (1.272 1.27)53.86% (-1.279 -1.28)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.43% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)6.56% (0.069 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.56% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)24.43% (0.188 0.19)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.55% (3.335 3.34)46.44% (-3.34 -3.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.93% (2.441 2.44)82.06% (-2.447 -2.45)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 78.41%
    Spezia 7.95%
    Draw 13.62%
NapoliDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 11.3% (-0.78 -0.78)
3-0 @ 10.26% (-0.75 -0.75)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.242 0.24)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.538 -0.54)
3-1 @ 7.87% (0.19 0.19)
4-0 @ 6.99% (-0.54 -0.54)
4-1 @ 5.36% (0.108 0.11)
5-0 @ 3.81% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.339 0.34)
5-1 @ 2.92% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.06% (0.224 0.22)
6-0 @ 1.73% (-0.148 -0.15)
6-1 @ 1.33% (0.017 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 78.41%
1-1 @ 6.37% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.385 0.39)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 13.62%
1-2 @ 2.44% (0.291 0.29)
0-1 @ 2.34% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 7.95%

How you voted: Napoli vs Spezia

Napoli
90.5%
Draw
6.0%
Spezia
3.4%
116
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 11.30am
Spezia
0-3
Napoli

Manaj (45+10')
Politano (4'), Zielinski (25'), Demme (36')
Politano (51'), Ghoulam (66')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
Spezia

Rui (45+2'), Petagna (75')
Jesus (37' og.)
Maggiore (19'), Kiwior (48'), Manaj (51')
May 8, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Napoli
Piccoli (64')
Ricci (34'), Estevez (58'), Vignali (62')
Zielinski (15'), Osimhen (23', 44'), Lozano (79')
Hysaj (6'), Osimhen (65')
Jan 28, 2021 8pm
Napoli
4-2
Spezia
Koulibaly (5'), Lozano (20'), Politano (30'), Elmas (40')
Lozano (10'), Rui (61')
Gyasi (70'), Acampora (73')
Jan 6, 2021 5pm
Napoli
1-2
Spezia
Petagna (58')
Di Lorenzo (87'), Manolas (90+3')
N'Zola (68' pen.), Pobega (82')
Ismajli (61'), Pobega (65'), Maggiore (72'), Terzi (88')
Ismajli (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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