Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 7 | 13 |
2 | Napoli | 5 | 8 | 11 |
3 | AC Milan | 5 | 5 | 11 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Hellas Verona | 5 | -3 | 5 |
14 | Spezia | 5 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Empoli | 5 | -1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
78.42% ( -1.57) | 13.62% ( 0.58) | 7.95% ( 0.98) |
Both teams to score 50.04% ( 3.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.74% ( 1.1) | 32.25% ( -1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.13% ( 1.27) | 53.86% ( -1.28) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.43% ( -0.08) | 6.56% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.56% ( -0.19) | 24.43% ( 0.19) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.55% ( 3.34) | 46.44% ( -3.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.93% ( 2.44) | 82.06% ( -2.45) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.78) 3-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.75) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.54) 4-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.34) 5-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.15) 6-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.68% Total : 78.41% | 1-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.88% Total : 13.62% | 1-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.17% Total : 7.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
8 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |