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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Lecce logo

Napoli
1 - 1
Lecce

Elmas (27')
Politano (13')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Colombo (31')
Hjulmand (33'), Colombo (40'), Gonzalez (90+7'), Gendrey (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-0 Lecce

Despite their lack of points, Lecce have proved tough enough to withstand pressure and have not lost by more than a one-goal margin. If Napoli opt to rotate their resources, a new-look XI may take a while to gel - but their class in the final third should get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawLecce
64.16% (-0.271 -0.27) 20.34% (0.156 0.16) 15.5% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.55% (-0.241 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)43.52% (0.462 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.09% (-0.455 -0.45)65.91% (0.45400000000001 0.45)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)12.85% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.78% (-0.45 -0.45)39.22% (0.449 0.45)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (-0.129 -0.13)40.85% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (-0.115 -0.12)77.42% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 64.16%
    Lecce 15.5%
    Draw 20.34%
NapoliDrawLecce
2-0 @ 11.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.88% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 64.16%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.34%
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.078 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.32% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 15.5%

How you voted: Napoli vs Lecce

Napoli
88.3%
Draw
8.3%
Lecce
3.3%
120
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
Sep 22, 2019 2pm
Lecce
1-4
Napoli
Mancosu (61' pen.)
Tachtsidis (37'), Gabriel (38'), Tabanelli (49')
Llorente (28', 82'), Insigne (40' pen.), Fabian (52')
Ghoulam (22'), Elmas (45'), Fabian (53')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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