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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Fiorentina logo

Roma
2 - 0
Fiorentina

Dybala (40', 82')
Smalling (15'), Kumbulla (55'), Bove (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dodo (4'), Gonzalez (55'), Julio (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Fiorentina, including team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Thursday, January 12 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Sampdoria
Thursday, January 12 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Roma 1-1 Fiorentina

 This one could go the distance: Roma have scored six of their last seven Serie A goals after the 80th minute, while Fiorentina have netted the most of any side in the 90th minute and beyond (five). As such, plenty of twists and turns may be in store, though the spoils are likely to end up being shared in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawFiorentina
44.35% (-1.102 -1.1) 26.68% (-0.12 -0.12) 28.96% (1.221 1.22)
Both teams to score 49.78% (1.095 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.16% (1.048 1.05)54.84% (-1.049 -1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.86% (0.86 0.86)76.13% (-0.86 -0.86)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)24.59% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.91% (-0.107 -0.11)59.08% (0.105 0.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.02% (1.515 1.52)33.98% (-1.517 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.34% (1.604 1.6)70.66% (-1.604 -1.6)
Score Analysis
    Roma 44.35%
    Fiorentina 28.96%
    Draw 26.68%
RomaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 11.72% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.378 -0.38)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.35%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.177 0.18)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.2 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.191 0.19)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.14 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.96%

How you voted: Roma vs Fiorentina

Roma
56.8%
Draw
28.4%
Fiorentina
14.8%
88
Head to Head
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-0
Roma
Gonzalez (5' pen.), Bonaventura (11')
Amrabat (19'), Bonaventura (28'), Duncan (49')

Mancini (24')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Fiorentina
Mkhitaryan (26'), Veretout (64', 79')
Pellegrini (13'), Zaniolo (44')
Zaniolo (52')
Milenkovic (60')
Bonaventura (45+3'), Pulgar (53')
Dragowski (17')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
Spinazzola (60' og.)
Ribery (71')
Spinazzola (49'), Diawara (88')
Mancini (40'), Kumbulla (74')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
Roma
2-0
Fiorentina
Spinazzola (12'), Pedro (70')
Dzeko (24'), Veretout (33'), Cristante (90+1')

Castrovilli (32'), Lirola (51')
Martinez (88')
Jul 26, 2020 6.30pm
Roma
2-1
Fiorentina
Veretout (45' pen., 87' pen.)
Mancini (90+6')
Milenkovic (54')
Pezzella (35'), Caceres (72'), Ghezzal (86'), Pezzella (88'), Milenkovic (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010
> Serie A Full Table


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