We said: Fiorentina 1-2 Torino
With more momentum behind them than their misfiring hosts, Torino can build on a good away record this term - they have lost on just four of 12 road trips so far - to reach the semi-finals. Both teams are capable of keeping things tight, but Fiorentina are vulnerable to the odd lapse and will crash out on home soil.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Torino had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.