Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa1 - 4Fiorentina
FT(HT: 0-3)
Biraghi (5'), Bonaventura (11'), Gonzalez (40'), Mandragora (56')
Biraghi (22'), Bonaventura (34'), Milenkovic (87')
Biraghi (22'), Bonaventura (34'), Milenkovic (87')
We said: Genoa 1-1 Fiorentina
Even though Genoa's winning run could end against Fiorentina, Gilardino's men playing out a score draw with Italiano's team is the likely outcome this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
38.26% ( -0.06) | 25.25% ( -0) | 36.49% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
