Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Juventus3 - 0Como
We said: Juventus 2-0 Como
Juventus have won more Serie A openers than any other club - including seven wins across their last eight - and they should do so for a 60th time on Monday. As Como will take time to adapt to their new surroundings, a Juve side hungry to impress under new management can ruthlessly exploit their visitors' weaknesses. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Como had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Como |
48.07% ( -0.53) | 26.13% ( 0.24) | 25.8% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.2% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.49% ( -0.71) | 54.51% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.14% ( -0.6) | 75.86% ( 0.6) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( -0.54) | 22.69% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.66% ( -0.8) | 56.34% ( 0.8) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% ( -0.14) | 36.35% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.86% ( -0.15) | 73.14% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Juventus 48.07%
Como 25.8%
Draw 26.13%
| Juventus | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.8% |
How you voted: Juventus vs Como
Juventus
84.4%Draw
10.1%Como
5.5%199
