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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Juventus logo

Roma
1 - 1
Juventus

Lukaku (15')
Weah (0'), Abraham (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bremer (31')
Weah (4'), Rabiot (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Roma 1-1 Juventus

While Juventus have lost all momentum are stuttering towards the end of another troubled season, distracted Roma may have one eye on turning their Europa League semi-final tie around. The hosts also have a woeful record against Italy's other top clubs, so Juve can record a fourth straight Serie A draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
RomaDrawJuventus
32.27% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05) 26.77% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 40.96% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.98% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46% (-0.116 -0.12)53.99% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)75.43% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)31.16% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (-0.111 -0.11)67.49% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)25.95% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)60.95% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Roma 32.27%
    Juventus 40.95%
    Draw 26.76%
RomaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.27%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.09% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.9% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.95%

How you voted: Roma vs Juventus

Roma
38.0%
Draw
28.5%
Juventus
33.6%
137
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Juventus
1-0
Roma
Rabiot (47')
Locatelli (77')

Paredes (68')
Mar 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Roma
1-0
Juventus
Mancini (53')
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Juventus
1-1
Roma
Vlahovic (2')
Locatelli (6'), Kostic (77')
Abraham (69')
Cristante (41'), Celik (90+4')
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
3-4
Juventus
Abraham (11'), Mkhitaryan (48'), Pellegrini (53')
Veretout (50'), Ibanez (51'), Cristante (76')
Dybala (18'), Locatelli (70'), Kulusevski (72'), De Sciglio (77')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Juventus
1-0
Roma
Kean (16')
Szczesny (42'), De Sciglio (49'), Danilo (87')

Abraham (45+3'), El Shaarawy (70'), Shomurodov (85'), Mancini (89'), Karsdorp (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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