Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | AC Milan |
47.08% ( 0.33) | 24.92% ( -0.07) | 28% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 54.62% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.75% ( 0.17) | 48.25% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.6% ( 0.16) | 70.4% ( -0.16) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% ( 0.21) | 20.54% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% ( 0.33) | 53.05% ( -0.33) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.74% ( -0.1) | 31.26% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.39% ( -0.11) | 67.61% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 47.07% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |