Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Cremonese |
64.95% ( -0.36) | 20.88% ( 0.23) | 14.17% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.49% ( -0.68) | 48.51% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.36% ( -0.62) | 70.64% ( 0.62) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.82% ( -0.32) | 14.18% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.12% ( -0.64) | 41.87% ( 0.64) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.22% ( -0.22) | 45.78% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.45% ( -0.17) | 81.55% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Cremonese |
1-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 64.93% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.88% | 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.25% Total : 14.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
8 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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