Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Juventus win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Napoli |
25.72% ( 0.01) | 26.03% ( 0) | 48.25% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.43% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.82% ( -0.01) | 54.18% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.41% ( -0.01) | 75.59% ( 0.01) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.76% ( 0.01) | 36.24% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.98% ( 0.01) | 73.03% ( -0.01) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( -0.01) | 22.47% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.99% ( -0.02) | 56.02% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.72% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.08% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 48.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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