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Cremonese
Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Spezia Calcio logo

Cremonese
2 - 0
Spezia

Ciofani (41'), Vasquez (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Agudelo (76'), Ampadu (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 Spezia
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Cremonese 2-1 Spezia

Having demonstrated the more convincing form of these two strugglers, Cremonese can build on their near-miss in Milan and keep their fight for survival alive. Victory would take them within four points of their ailing visitors; setting up an almighty scrap in the final four rounds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawSpezia
42.77% (0.534 0.53) 25.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 31.69% (-0.505 -0.5)
Both teams to score 54.69% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)49.11% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.82% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)71.18% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (0.235 0.23)22.86% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (0.344 0.34)56.59% (-0.343 -0.34)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.358 -0.36)29.1% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-0.447 -0.45)65.02% (0.44800000000001 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 42.77%
    Spezia 31.69%
    Draw 25.53%
CremoneseDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.24% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.063999999999998 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.69%

How you voted: Cremonese vs Spezia

Cremonese
69.0%
Draw
22.4%
Spezia
8.6%
58
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
gameweek 10
Spezia
2-2
Cremonese
N'Zola (19'), Holm (22')
Agudelo (61')
Dessers (2'), Pickel (52')
Jul 24, 2020 8pm
gameweek 36
Cremonese
0-0
Spezia

Terranova (68'), Gaetano (77'), Crescenzi (80')
Feb 11, 2020 8pm
gameweek 17
Spezia
3-2
Cremonese
Maggiore (56'), Di Gaudio (72'), N'Zola (84')
Ricci (30'), Capradossi (39')
Claiton (27'), Parigini (87')
Deli (41'), Piccolo (55'), Gustafson (73'), Ravanelli (90')
Feb 2, 2019 5pm
gameweek 22
Spezia
2-0
Cremonese
Bartolomei (21', 53')
Vignali (81')

Arini (40'), Strizzolo (66')
Sep 15, 2018 5pm
gameweek 3
Cremonese
2-0
Spezia
Terranova (16' pen.), Brighenti (21')

Ricci (28'), Terzi (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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