Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Sampdoria |
60.51% ( 0.16) | 22.32% ( -0.04) | 17.17% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 48.85% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% ( -0.03) | 48.99% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.93% ( -0.03) | 71.07% ( 0.03) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.24% ( 0.04) | 15.76% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.13% ( 0.08) | 44.87% ( -0.08) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.99% ( -0.17) | 42.01% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.56% ( -0.15) | 78.44% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 60.51% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.31% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 17.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |