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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Salernitana

Monza
3 - 0
Salernitana

Augusto (24'), Mota (35'), Pessina (75' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Candreva (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Monza
Thursday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 1-2 Salernitana

Salernitana will be angry after falling to a late defeat against Fiorentina in midweek, and we can envisage them bouncing back with a win on Sunday. Monza are at least one year behind their forthcoming opponents in terms of their development, and that may be more obvious than expected at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawSalernitana
59.59% (0.21 0.21) 22.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 18.22% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.278 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (-0.196 -0.2)46.83% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (-0.184 -0.18)69.09% (0.181 0.18)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.93% (0.0040000000000049 0)44.07% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)39.49% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82% (-0.311 -0.31)76.18% (0.30799999999999 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Monza 59.58%
    Salernitana 18.22%
    Draw 22.18%
MonzaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 59.58%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.18%
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.22%

How you voted: Monza vs Salernitana

Monza
30.6%
Draw
22.2%
Salernitana
47.2%
72
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 1pm
Salernitana
1-3
Monza
Gondo (51')
Veseli (70'), Casasola (79')
Frattesi (49'), Balotelli (81', 90+1')
Pirola (40'), Balotelli (83')
Dec 30, 2020 3pm
Monza
3-0
Salernitana
Balotelli (4'), Barilla (45'), Armellino (90+5')
Bellusci (55')

Gyomber (26'), Djuric (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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