Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Monza |
32.74% ( 0.01) | 27.13% ( -0) | 40.13% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.01% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.72% ( 0.01) | 55.28% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.5% ( 0) | 76.5% ( -0.01) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.51% ( 0.01) | 31.49% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.12% ( 0.01) | 67.88% ( -0.01) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% | 26.99% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% ( -0) | 62.34% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.74% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |