Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Salernitana |
70.81% ( 0.77) | 17.89% ( -0.25) | 11.3% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 47.78% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.73% ( -0.27) | 42.27% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.32% ( -0.27) | 64.67% ( 0.27) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.31% ( 0.12) | 10.68% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.42% ( 0.28) | 34.57% ( -0.28) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.49% ( -1.09) | 46.5% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.89% ( -0.85) | 82.11% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.94% Total : 70.8% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.77% Total : 17.89% | 0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.85% Total : 11.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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