Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma1 - 1Torino
We said: Roma 1-1 Torino
The last Serie A draw between Roma and Torino was almost seven years ago, but a low-scoring stalemate could be on the cards this week, as both sides have found the net at a rate barely over one-goal-per-game so far. The Giallorossi have lacked invention since Dybala's departure for the treatment room, so their final Stadio Olimpico appearance of 2022 may prove to be something of a damp squib. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Torino had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Torino |
58.71% ( -0.21) | 23.25% ( 0.02) | 18.04% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.69% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.59% ( 0.21) | 51.4% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% ( 0.18) | 73.22% ( -0.19) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( -0) | 17.22% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.49% ( 0) | 47.51% ( -0) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.61% ( 0.35) | 42.39% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.23% ( 0.3) | 78.77% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 58.7%
Torino 18.04%
Draw 23.25%
| Roma | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 58.7% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.04% |
How you voted: Roma vs Torino
Roma
67.3%Draw
22.1%Torino
10.6%104
Head to Head
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 28, 2021 5pm
Dec 17, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Torino
Mkhitaryan (27'), Veretout (43' pen.), Pellegrini (68')
Peres (21'), Mancini (23'), Villar (56'), Calafiori (90+2')
Peres (21'), Mancini (23'), Villar (56'), Calafiori (90+2')
