MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 06:45:39| >> :120:38031:38031:
Roma logo
Europa League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Leverkusen logo

Roma
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Bove (63')
Mancini (58'), Abraham (76'), Ibanez (89'), Spinazzola (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Andrich (50'), Tah (57'), Diaby (57')

The Match

Match Report

Edoardo Bove scores the only goal of the game as Roma overcome Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 in the first leg of their Europa League semi-final at Stadio Olimpico.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.

Result
RomaDrawBayer Leverkusen
42.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.79% (0.0010000000000012 0) 31.15% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 50.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62%54.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24%75.76%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)60.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.00099999999999056 0)32.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.62% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Roma 42.06%
    Bayer Leverkusen 31.15%
    Draw 26.78%
RomaDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 42.06%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.15%

How you voted: Roma vs B. Leverkusen

Roma
55.4%
Draw
26.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
18.5%
260
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
Roma
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Salah (2'), Dzeko (29'), Pjanic (80' pen.)
Torosidis (91'), Szczesny (94')
Mehmedi (46'), Hernandez (51')
Papadopoulos (61')
Toprak (79')
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
B. Leverkusen
4-4
Roma
Hernandez (4' pen., 19'), Kampl (84'), Mehmedi (86')
Kramer (36'), Wendell (90')
De Rossi (29', 37'), Pjanic (54'), Falque (73')
Nainggolan (24'), de Rossi (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!