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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Salernitana

Roma
2 - 2
Salernitana

Belotti (17', 82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Candreva (36', 49')
Gyomber (41'), Maggiore (66'), Kastanos (69'), Fazio (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Partizani Tirana 1-2 Roma
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Salernitana

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Ternana
Sunday, August 13 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Roma 1-1 Salernitana

 No team drew more games in Europe's top five leagues last season (15, level with Reims and Nantes), so Salernitana are not easy to beat under Paulo Sousa. With a settled side and a proven goal threat, the visitors can therefore frustrate their hosts on matchday one and restrict new-look Roma to just a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
RomaDrawSalernitana
59.11% (-0.157 -0.16) 23.14% (0.112 0.11) 17.75% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 47.49% (-0.255 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)51.39% (0.382 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.79% (-0.336 -0.34)73.21% (0.33499999999999 0.33)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.93% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)17.07% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.74% (-0.339 -0.34)47.26% (0.33900000000001 0.34)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.27% (-0.174 -0.17)42.73% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.94% (-0.148 -0.15)79.06% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Roma 59.1%
    Salernitana 17.75%
    Draw 23.13%
RomaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 12.89% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 59.1%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.065 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.75%

How you voted: Roma vs Salernitana

Roma
68.6%
Draw
23.5%
Salernitana
7.8%
51
Head to Head
May 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Roma
2-2
Salernitana
El Shaarawy (47'), Matic (83')
Zalewski (90+4')
Candreva (12'), Dia (54')
Gyomber (69'), Ochoa (85'), Daniliuc (87'), Dia (90+5')
Sousa (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Salernitana
0-1
Roma

Coulibaly (28'), Gyomber (39'), Kastanos (40')
Cristante (33')
Smalling (48'), Matic (72')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 32
Roma
2-1
Salernitana
Perez (82'), Smalling (85')
Kumbulla (21'), Cristante (54'), Mkhitaryan (80'), Abraham (90'), Patricio (90+4')
Radovanovic (22')
Bohinen (13'), Djuric (30'), Gyomber (41'), Ribery (67'), Sepe (71'), Kastanos (75'), Zortea (81'), Radovanovic (90')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Salernitana
0-4
Roma

Bonazzoli (35'), Aya (50')
Pellegrini (48', 79'), Veretout (52'), Abraham (69')
Perez (40'), Mkhitaryan (67')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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