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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Bologna logo

Salernitana
2 - 2
Bologna

Pirola (7'), Dia (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ferguson (11'), Lykogiannis (73')
Orsolini (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Salernitana
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Lazio
Saturday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 0-1 Bologna

With goals likely to be thin on the ground in Salerno, a single strike could decide the points' destiny on Saturday evening: both teams are fairly lightweight up front. Compared to Paulo Sousa's early impact at the Arechi, Bologna are further along in their development under Thiago Motta so can get back on the winning trail at their hosts' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SalernitanaDrawBologna
31.64% (-0.993 -0.99) 27.07% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 41.29% (1.053 1.05)
Both teams to score 49.84% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.66% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)55.35% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)76.56% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72% (-0.706 -0.71)32.29% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.808 -0.81)68.79% (0.81200000000001 0.81)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (0.554 0.55)26.39% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (0.73 0.73)61.55% (-0.724 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 31.64%
    Bologna 41.29%
    Draw 27.07%
SalernitanaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.64%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.56% (0.244 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.36% (0.159 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.055 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.29%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Bologna

Salernitana
25.8%
Draw
12.9%
Bologna
61.3%
31
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 26, 2022 2.05pm
Aug 22, 2021 5.30pm
Bologna
3-2
Salernitana
De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
Bonazzoli (52' pen.), Coulibaly (70')
Strandberg (33'), Jaroszynski (79')
Strandberg (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Juventus115601971221
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Roma113441214-213
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
13Empoli1025379-211
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Como102351221-99
16Parma101631416-29
17Monza111551014-48
18VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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