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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Bologna logo

Salernitana
2 - 2
Bologna

Pirola (7'), Dia (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ferguson (11'), Lykogiannis (73')
Orsolini (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Salernitana
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Lazio
Saturday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 0-1 Bologna

With goals likely to be thin on the ground in Salerno, a single strike could decide the points' destiny on Saturday evening: both teams are fairly lightweight up front. Compared to Paulo Sousa's early impact at the Arechi, Bologna are further along in their development under Thiago Motta so can get back on the winning trail at their hosts' expense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SalernitanaDrawBologna
31.64% (-0.993 -0.99) 27.07% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 41.29% (1.053 1.05)
Both teams to score 49.84% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.66% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)55.35% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)76.56% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72% (-0.706 -0.71)32.29% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.808 -0.81)68.79% (0.81200000000001 0.81)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (0.554 0.55)26.39% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (0.73 0.73)61.55% (-0.724 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 31.64%
    Bologna 41.29%
    Draw 27.07%
SalernitanaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.64%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.56% (0.244 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.36% (0.159 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.055 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.29%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Bologna

Salernitana
25.8%
Draw
12.9%
Bologna
61.3%
31
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 26, 2022 2.05pm
Aug 22, 2021 5.30pm
Bologna
3-2
Salernitana
De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
Bonazzoli (52' pen.), Coulibaly (70')
Strandberg (33'), Jaroszynski (79')
Strandberg (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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