Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 17, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Spezia2 - 1Sampdoria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Spezia
Saturday, September 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, September 10 at 2pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Hellas Verona | 6 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Spezia | 6 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Empoli | 6 | -2 | 4 |
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cremonese | 6 | -5 | 2 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 6 | -8 | 2 |
| 20 | Monza | 6 | -11 | 1 |
We said: Spezia 1-1 Sampdoria
With only one win between them, confidence is low in both camps. As Spezia (10) and Sampdoria (18) are also two of the three teams with the fewest shots on target this term, expect a low-scoring Ligurian derby in which the spoils are shared. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
45.6% ( 1.62) | 28.61% ( 0.52) | 25.79% ( -2.14) |
| Both teams to score 42.55% ( -2.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.96% ( -2.7) | 63.05% ( 2.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.5% ( -2) | 82.5% ( 2.01) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( -0.43) | 27.73% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.71% ( -0.56) | 63.29% ( 0.56) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.87% ( -3.36) | 41.13% ( 3.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.33% ( -3.13) | 77.67% ( 3.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Spezia 45.6%
Sampdoria 25.79%
Draw 28.6%
| Spezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 14.62% ( 1.24) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.69)2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.67% Total : 45.6% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.4% ( 1.1)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.42)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.6% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.57)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.24)Other @ 1.24% Total : 25.79% |
How you voted: Spezia vs Sampdoria
Spezia
45.8%Draw
37.3%Sampdoria
16.9%83
