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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
Napoli logo

Sassuolo
1 - 6
Napoli

Racic (17')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Rrahmani (29'), Osimhen (31', 41', 47'), Kvaratskhelia (51', 75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-3 Empoli
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 1-2 Napoli

These two out-of-form teams can view Wednesday's fixture as a decent opportunity to claim three valuable points, although Napoli will be regarded as favourites to come out on top considering their impressive head-to-head record, and they should ultimately have enough firepower to edge past a defensively-frail Sassuolo outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawNapoli
28.07% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 24.89% (0.012 0.01) 47.04% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.79% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)48.05% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)70.22% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)31.11% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)67.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)20.47% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.05% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)52.95% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 28.07%
    Napoli 47.04%
    Draw 24.88%
SassuoloDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.07%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.04%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Napoli

Sassuolo
19.2%
Draw
16.8%
Napoli
64.0%
125
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Napoli
2-0
Sassuolo
Osimhen (16' pen.), Di Lorenzo (64')

Ruan (29')
Lopez (51')
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 29, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 12
Napoli
4-0
Sassuolo
Osimhen (4', 19', 77'), Kvaratskhelia (36')
Apr 30, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
Napoli
6-1
Sassuolo
Koulibaly (7'), Osimhen (15'), Lozano (19'), Mertens (21', 54'), Rrahmani (80')
Lopez (87')
Lopez (18'), Frattesi (53'), Berardi (84')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Sassuolo
2-2
Napoli
Scamacca (71'), Marco Ferrari (89')
Rogerio (25'), Berardi (54'), Henrique (86'), Defrel (90+3')
Fabian (51'), Mertens (59')
Politano (84'), Demme (88')
Spalletti (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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