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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
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Lazio
0 - 0
Napoli


Romagnoli (55'), Gila (69'), Cataldi (82')
FT

Demme (49'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Lazio
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Monday, January 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

We said: Lazio 1-1 Napoli

 Lazio and Napoli have not drawn any of their last 14 Serie A contests, with four wins for the Biancocelesti and 10 for their Neapolitan rivals. A first stalemate since November 2016 could be on the cards, though, as both teams are diminished by absences and may be satisfied with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LazioDrawNapoli
35.1% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07) 28.54% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 36.35% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.17% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.067 0.07)60.23% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.053000000000001 0.05)80.41% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.012 -0.01)32.45% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)68.97% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.091999999999999 0.09)31.64% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.105 0.11)68.05% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 35.1%
    Napoli 36.35%
    Draw 28.53%
LazioDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 13.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 11.81%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.8% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.35%

How you voted: Lazio vs Napoli

Lazio
58.3%
Draw
28.8%
Napoli
12.9%
139
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
Zielinski (32')
Garcia (34')
Alberto (30'), Kamada (52')
Zaccagni (26'), Alberto (60'), Sarri (88')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Vecino (67')
> Match Report
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Zaccagni (4')
Milinkovic-Savic (67'), Anderson (70'), Cataldi (70'), Sarri (90'), Marusic (90+4')
Min-jae (38'), Kvaratskhelia (61')
Spalletti (81')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2022 7.50pm
Gameweek 27
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Pedro (88')
Radu (71'), Immobile (79'), Zaccagni (82')
Insigne (62'), Fabian (90+4')
Rui (90+3'), Fabian (90+7')
> Preview
Nov 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
4-0
Lazio
Zielinski (7'), Mertens (10', 29'), Fabian (85')
Di Lorenzo (78'), Demme (88')

Felipe (13'), Patric (35'), Cataldi (59'), Zaccagni (79')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010
> Serie A Full Table


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