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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Sassuolo logo

Napoli
4 - 0
Sassuolo

Osimhen (4', 19', 77'), Kvaratskhelia (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Lopez (75'), Lauriente (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Rangers
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Sassuolo

As Sassuolo have scored just four times in five away games so far, breaching a tight Napoli defence will prove a particular challenge. Given it is almost inevitable the hosts will score at least once, as they welcome back several stars from a midweek rest, the Serie A leaders' golden run should continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 12.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawSassuolo
70.88% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 16.51% (0.00099999999999767 0) 12.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 57.55% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.09%31.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.54%53.46% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)7.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.82% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)28.17%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.44% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 70.88%
    Sassuolo 12.6%
    Draw 16.51%
NapoliDrawSassuolo
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 7.9%
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 3.88%
5-0 @ 2.57%
5-1 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 2.45%
5-2 @ 1.24%
6-0 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 70.88%
1-1 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.99%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.51%
1-2 @ 3.65%
0-1 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-2 @ 1.44%
1-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 12.6%

How you voted: Napoli vs Sassuolo

Napoli
95.7%
Draw
2.1%
Sassuolo
2.1%
141
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 2pm
Napoli
6-1
Sassuolo
Koulibaly (7'), Osimhen (15'), Lozano (19'), Mertens (21', 54'), Rrahmani (80')
Lopez (87')
Lopez (18'), Frattesi (53'), Berardi (84')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Sassuolo
2-2
Napoli
Scamacca (71'), Marco Ferrari (89')
Rogerio (25'), Berardi (54'), Henrique (86'), Defrel (90+3')
Fabian (51'), Mertens (59')
Politano (84'), Demme (88')
Spalletti (90+1')
Mar 3, 2021 5.30pm
Sassuolo
3-3
Napoli
Maksimovic (34' og.), Berardi (45+1' pen.), Caputo (90+5' pen.)
Duricic (30'), Santos (79')
Zielinski (38'), Di Lorenzo (72'), Insigne (89' pen.)
Demme (69'), Ghoulam (77')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
Napoli
0-2
Sassuolo

Manolas (61'), Ospina (90+6')
Locatelli (59' pen.), Lopez (90+5')
Locatelli (49'), Bourabia (90')
Jul 25, 2020 8.45pm
Napoli
2-0
Sassuolo
Hysaj (8'), Allan (90+3')
Mertens (69')

Berardi (40'), Duricic (68'), Santos (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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