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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Lecce logo

Spezia
0 - 0
Lecce

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Lazio
Wednesday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Lecce

Spezia's collapse against Atalanta would have concerned their manager Gotti, who is likely to be forced into starting an inexperienced youngster in goal due to injuries. As such, we would not be surprised if Lecce extend their winning run to four matches on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawLecce
35.79% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 26.74% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 37.47% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 51.74% (-0.304 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67% (-0.386 -0.39)53.32% (0.382 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (-0.329 -0.33)74.87% (0.324 0.32)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (-0.155 -0.16)28.56% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64% (-0.194 -0.19)64.36% (0.18899999999999 0.19)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.271 -0.27)27.57% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)63.09% (0.34500000000001 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 35.79%
    Lecce 37.46%
    Draw 26.74%
SpeziaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.106 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.79%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.14% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 37.46%

How you voted: Spezia vs Lecce

Spezia
31.5%
Draw
22.2%
Lecce
46.3%
54
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Spezia
0-2
Lecce

Strelec (6'), N'Zola (30'), Nguiamba (79')
Listkowski (43'), Calabresi (55')
Dermaku (17'), Barreca (35'), Rodriguez (49'), Blin (90+2')
May 11, 2019 2pm
Dec 30, 2018 8pm
Spezia
1-1
Lecce
Ricci (13' pen.)
Vignali (41'), Mora (48'), Capradossi (64')
Scavone (68')
Bovo (28'), Petriccione (55'), Palombi (72'), Venuti (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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