Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 19.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Atalanta BC |
19.84% ( 1.83) | 22.22% ( 1.25) | 57.94% ( -3.08) |
Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.4% ( -2.75) | 44.59% ( 2.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.04% ( -2.72) | 66.96% ( 2.72) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.58% ( 0.37) | 36.42% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( 0.37) | 73.21% ( -0.37) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.89% ( -1.86) | 15.11% ( 1.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.34% ( -3.63) | 43.66% ( 3.63) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.75% Total : 19.84% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.65) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.22% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.25% ( -0.46) 0-3 @ 6.19% ( -0.52) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.44) 0-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.47) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.2) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.25) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |