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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena
Parma logo

Udinese
1 - 0
Parma

Thauvin (38' pen.)
Modesto (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Almqvist (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Udinese
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-0 Bologna
Saturday, February 22 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 2-1 Parma

While Parma have picked up just one away win all season, Udinese have scored three times in both of their last two home games. Full of confidence - and with several attacking threats to call on - the Bianconeri should prevail, potentially dropping their opponents back into the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Udinese win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw has a probability of 23.5% and a win for Parma has a probability of 22.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Parma win it is 0-1 (6.35%).

Result
UdineseDrawParma
53.57% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 23.52% (0.038999999999998 0.04) 22.91% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.17% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.52% (-0.135 -0.13)46.48% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24% (-0.128 -0.13)68.76% (0.128 0.13)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)17.28% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.38% (-0.134 -0.13)47.62% (0.133 0.13)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.49% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)34.5% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)71.22% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 53.56%
    Parma 22.91%
    Draw 23.52%
UdineseDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 53.56%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 22.91%

How you voted: Udinese vs Parma

Udinese
Draw
Parma
Udinese
89.1%
Draw
6.5%
Parma
4.3%
46
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Parma
2-3
Udinese
Del Prato (2'), Bonny (43')
Keita (62')
Keita (73')
Lucca (49'), Thauvin (68', 77')
Gianetti (38'), Ehizibue (84'), Davis (87')
Feb 21, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Parma
2-2
Udinese
Cornelius (3'), Kucka (32' pen.)
Brugman (10'), Cornelius (19'), Bani (29'), Mihaila (37'), Hernani (59'), Conti (78'), Man (83')
Okaka (64'), Nuytinck (80')
Zeegelaar (25'), Musso (37'), De Paul (81'), Pereyra (90+4')
Oct 18, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 4
Udinese
3-2
Parma
Samir (28'), Iacoponi (52' og.), Pussetto (88')
Becao (32'), Arslan (44'), Makengo (90+1')
Hernani (26'), Karamoh (70')
Brugman (57'), Iacoponi (73')
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 21
Parma
2-0
Udinese
Gagliolo (19'), Kulusevski (34')
Hernani (59'), Laurini (68')

Troost-Ekong (30'), Mandragora (45'), Becao (49')
Sep 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Udinese
1-3
Parma
Lasagna (17')
Teodorczyk (93')
Gervinho (43'), Gagliolo (59'), Inglese (75')
Grassi (6'), Barilla (81'), Hernani (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33218472324071
2Napoli33218452252771
3Atalanta BCAtalanta33197766303664
4Bologna331612552371560
5Juventus331514449311859
6Lazio33178855431259
7Roma33169848321657
8Fiorentina33168951331856
9AC Milan331491051381351
10Torino331013103837143
11Udinese33117153648-1240
12Como33109144348-539
13Genoa33912122940-1139
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3395193060-3032
15Parma33613143851-1331
16CagliariCagliari3379173349-1630
17Lecce3368192355-3226
18VeneziaVenezia33413162746-1925
19Empoli33413162652-2625
20Monza3329222557-3215


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