Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma2 - 3Udinese
We said: Parma 2-1 Udinese
Only Torino have faced more shots than either Parma or Udinese in Serie A this season, so it may be a pleasing spectacle for the neutral at Stadio Tardini. The Gialloblu were very unfortunate to lose last time out, and they can join their visitors on seven points by edging to victory on home turf. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Udinese |
40.22% ( 4.91) | 27.29% ( 1.43) | 32.49% ( -6.34) |
| Both teams to score 49.45% ( -5.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
