Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Juventus |
30.91% ( -0.17) | 27.96% ( 0.08) | 41.13% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 46.99% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.16% ( -0.33) | 58.84% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.66% ( -0.26) | 79.34% ( 0.26) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.36% ( -0.3) | 34.64% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.64% ( -0.32) | 71.36% ( 0.33) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% ( -0.11) | 28.12% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.21% ( -0.14) | 63.79% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 30.9% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.77% Total : 41.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 16 |
2 | Inter Milan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Udinese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
4 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 13 |
5 | Lazio | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
6 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
7 | Torino | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 10 |
9 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
10 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
11 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
12 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
13 | Como | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
14 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
16 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 6 |
17 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 5 |
18 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
20 | Monza | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
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