Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Monza |
35.53% ( -0) | 26.11% | 38.36% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.8% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.31% ( 0) | 50.69% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% ( 0) | 72.59% ( -0) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.54% ( 0) | 27.46% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.05% ( 0) | 62.95% ( 0) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.17% ( 0) | 25.83% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.2% ( 0) | 60.8% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.53% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 21 |
12 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 17 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |