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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Hellas Verona logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Leao (8')
Thiaw (24'), Musah (58'), Pioli (69+69'), Pulisic (76'), Florenzi (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Faraoni (42'), Bonazzoli (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Newcastle
Tuesday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-0 Bologna
Monday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Hellas Verona

 With precedent firmly on their side, Milan can bounce back from a tough week to post their fourth win from five Serie A matches this season. Verona may have overachieved in the early days of the 2023-24 campaign, but their limitations remain more or less the same as last year - and they have never before beaten Milan in a top-flight match at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC MilanDrawHellas Verona
65.12% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28) 20.61% (0.106 0.11) 14.27% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 47.63% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)47.17% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (-0.073 -0.07)69.4% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.3% (-0.107 -0.11)13.7% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.07% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)40.93% (0.225 0.23)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.19% (0.215 0.22)44.81% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.22% (0.173 0.17)80.78% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 65.11%
    Hellas Verona 14.27%
    Draw 20.61%
AC MilanDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-0 @ 12.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.04% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 65.11%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.61%
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.93% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 14.27%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Hellas Verona

AC Milan
89.0%
Draw
6.1%
Hellas Verona
4.9%
82
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
AC Milan
3-1
Hellas Verona
Giroud (45+2' pen.), Leao (85', 90+2')
Hernandez (89')
Faraoni (72')
Magnani (49'), Sulemana (60'), Cabal (62'), Depaoli (77')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hellas Verona
1-2
AC Milan
Gunter (19')
Veloso (9' og.), Tonali (81')
> Preview
May 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
AC Milan
3-2
Hellas Verona
Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')
Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')
> Preview
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 26
Hellas Verona
0-2
AC Milan

Magnani (26'), Bessa (90+3')
Krunic (27'), Dalot (50')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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