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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
Monza

Roma
1 - 0
Monza

El Shaarawy (90')
Cristante (70'), Mancini (78')
Mourinho (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

D'Ambrosio (23'), Pepin (45+1'), Pepin (45+2'), Palladino (87'), Gagliardini (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 1-4 Roma
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 3-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 8 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-0 Monza

Monza have scored only twice on the road this season - like Roma, they tend to thrive on home soil. Stadio Olimpico is never an easy place to visit, so the Biancorossi's momentum may be checked, as their hosts hand them a first defeat for over a month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawMonza
63.15% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 20.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 16.48% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (0.091999999999999 0.09)41.79% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (0.092999999999996 0.09)64.2% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (0.049000000000007 0.05)12.61% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.27% (0.104 0.1)38.73% (-0.103 -0.1)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)38.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.69% (0.004999999999999 0)75.3% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Roma 63.14%
    Monza 16.48%
    Draw 20.37%
RomaDrawMonza
2-0 @ 10.42%
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.19% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.72% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 63.14%
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5%
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 16.48%

How you voted: Roma vs Monza

Roma
86.3%
Draw
10.0%
Monza
3.8%
80
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Monza
1-1
Roma
Caldirola (39')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
3-0
Monza
Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese207582328-526
11Genoa215881830-1223
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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