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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Monza

Hellas Verona
1 - 1
Monza

Verdi (51')
Coppola (57'), Duda (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sensi (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-1 Empoli
Saturday, March 4 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Monza

Not only are Verona suffering a long dry spell in front of goal, they have scored just five times in the second half of Serie A fixtures this season - the worst record of any team in Europe's top five leagues. Should they trail at the break, then, the Scaligeri could be in trouble, but they have improved enough to secure a point against an impressive Monza side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawMonza
39.54% (0.503 0.5) 27.18% (-0.248 -0.25) 33.28% (-0.255 -0.26)
Both teams to score 49.99% (0.703 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63% (0.915 0.91)55.37% (-0.914 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42% (0.744 0.74)76.57% (-0.746 -0.75)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (0.717 0.72)27.36% (-0.717 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18% (0.92 0.92)62.82% (-0.921 -0.92)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82% (0.292 0.29)31.18% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (0.342 0.34)67.51% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 39.53%
    Monza 33.28%
    Draw 27.18%
Hellas VeronaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.118 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 39.53%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.94% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.28%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Monza

Hellas Verona
30.9%
Draw
30.9%
Monza
38.2%
68
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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