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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Roma logo

Empoli
1 - 2
Roma

Bandinelli (43')
Parisi (27'), Ismajli (60'), Akpa-Akpro (65')
Akpa-Akpro (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dybala (17'), Abraham (71')
Celik (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Empoli
Monday, September 5 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-1 Roma
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Empoli 1-2 Roma

Given Empoli's dire run at the Castellani, the timing of Roma's visit could not be better for the capital club - in theory, at least. They may not be at full tilt due to continental commitments, but the Giallorossi now possess enough firepower on the bench to finish the job if the game remains close later on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
EmpoliDrawRoma
29.13% (3.009 3.01) 24.62% (0.68 0.68) 46.24% (-3.69 -3.69)
Both teams to score 56.42% (0.108 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.942 -0.94)46.24% (0.942 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (-0.896 -0.9)68.53% (0.896 0.9)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (1.75 1.75)29.4% (-1.75 -1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (2.091 2.09)65.39% (-2.091 -2.09)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (-1.874 -1.87)20.08% (1.874 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.68% (-3.096 -3.1)52.32% (3.096 3.1)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 29.13%
    Roma 46.24%
    Draw 24.62%
EmpoliDrawRoma
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.612 0.61)
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.531 0.53)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.566 0.57)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.343 0.34)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.305 0.31)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 29.13%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 9.48% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.282 -0.28)
0-2 @ 7.61% (-0.619 -0.62)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.465 -0.47)
0-3 @ 4.07% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.319 -0.32)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.355 -0.36)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.24%

How you voted: Empoli vs Roma

Empoli
13.5%
Draw
14.5%
Roma
71.9%
303
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 5pm
Empoli
2-4
Roma
Pinamonti (55'), Bajrami (72')
Tonelli (63'), Benassi (83')
Abraham (24', 33'), Oliveira (35'), Zaniolo (37')
Mancini (52'), Cristante (85')
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Pellegrini (42'), Mkhitaryan (48')
Mancini (57'), Zaniolo (85')

Ricci (46'), Haas (56'), Stojanovic (90+1')
Mar 11, 2019 7.30pm
Roma
2-1
Empoli
El Shaarawy (9'), Schick (33')
Florenzi (13'), Cristante (13'), El Shaarawy (62')
Florenzi (80')
Jesus (12' og.)
Acquah (37')
Oct 6, 2018 7.30pm
Apr 1, 2017 7.45pm
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Dzeko (12', 56')

Krunic (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Juventus115601971221
3Inter Milan1063124131121
4Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
5Fiorentina105412191219
6Lazio106132213919
7Udinese115151416-216
8Bologna103611211115
9AC Milan94231611514
10Torino104241515014
11Roma103431011-113
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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