Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Hellas Verona |
37.28% ( 0.01) | 26.61% ( -0.08) | 36.11% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.17% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.22% ( 0.32) | 52.78% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.59% ( 0.28) | 74.41% ( -0.27) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.58% ( 0.16) | 27.42% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.1% ( 0.2) | 62.9% ( -0.2) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.89% ( 0.2) | 28.11% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.21% ( 0.25) | 63.79% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.28% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
8 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
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