Serie B | Gameweek 3
Aug 30, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Bari1 - 1Cittadella
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Cittadella.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Bari had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Cittadella |
33.72% ( 0.12) | 29% ( 0.01) | 37.28% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 44.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.1% ( -0.01) | 61.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.34% ( -0.01) | 81.66% ( 0.01) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% ( 0.07) | 34.25% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.05% ( 0.08) | 70.95% ( -0.08) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% ( -0.08) | 31.9% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.65% ( -0.09) | 68.35% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Bari 33.71%
Cittadella 37.28%
Draw 28.99%
| Bari | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.71% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.99% | 0-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.28% |
How you voted: Bari vs Cittadella
Bari
61.5%Draw
23.1%Cittadella
15.4%13
Head to Head
May 1, 2023 2pm
Dec 8, 2022 2pm
Jun 3, 2018 5.30pm
Preliminary Round
Cittadella
2-2
Bari
Mar 17, 2018 2pm
