Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.