Serie B | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Cremonese3 - 0Spezia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cremonese and Spezia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cremonese 2-1 Cittadella
Tuesday, October 31 at 2pm in Coppa Italia
Tuesday, October 31 at 2pm in Coppa Italia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Spezia |
48.05% ( -0.3) | 25.64% ( 0.09) | 26.31% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.74% ( -0.21) | 52.26% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% ( -0.18) | 73.96% ( 0.18) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( -0.22) | 21.76% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.06% ( -0.34) | 54.94% ( 0.33) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.29% ( 0.06) | 34.71% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.56% ( 0.06) | 71.44% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Cremonese 48.04%
Spezia 26.31%
Draw 25.63%
| Cremonese | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 48.04% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.31% |
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Jul 24, 2020 8pm
Feb 11, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 17
Spezia
3-2
Cremonese
Feb 2, 2019 5pm
