Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.