Sampdoria

1 - 0

Mantova

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Mantova win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sampdoria in this match.