Coppa Italia | Second Round
Sep 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa1 - 1Sampdoria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Venezia 2-0 Genoa
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-0 Sudtirol
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie B
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie B
We said: Genoa 3-1 Sampdoria
Liguria will come to a standstill for 90 minutes on Wednesday evening, as the latest Derby della Lanterna plays out - but only Genoa fans will be celebrating at the final whistle. The Grifone can afford to make changes and still overcome a Samp side lacking confidence and more concerned with resurrecting their ailing league campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Sampdoria |
35.55% ( 0.03) | 26.22% ( 0.23) | 38.22% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 53.42% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.81% ( -0.98) | 51.18% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.97% ( -0.86) | 73.02% ( 0.86) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( -0.45) | 27.68% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.77% ( -0.58) | 63.23% ( 0.57) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.86% ( -0.59) | 26.13% ( 0.59) |