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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayıs Stadyumu

Ankaragucu
3 - 2
Istanbulspor

Sowe (10', 53'), Diack (24')
Antalyali (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sen (47'), Lokilo (55')
Ethemi (28'), Sarikaya (51'), Yesil (74'), Ba (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Istanbulspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 1-0 Ankaragucu
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 0-1 Karagumruk
Monday, April 3 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ankaragucu 1-0 Istanbulspor

Buoyed by the Turkish Cup triumph over Trabzonspor, we expect Ankaragucu to edge Istanbulspor on home soil, with an eighth defeat in 10 away games looking likely for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawIstanbulspor
69.53% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 17.72% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 12.75% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.46% (0.046000000000006 0.05)37.54% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.23% (0.050999999999995 0.05)59.77% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.27% (0.030000000000001 0.03)9.73% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.6% (0.072999999999993 0.07)32.4% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)40.99% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.45% (-0.032 -0.03)77.55% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 69.52%
    Istanbulspor 12.75%
    Draw 17.72%
AnkaragucuDrawIstanbulspor
2-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.41% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.9% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34%
5-0 @ 2.28% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 69.52%
1-1 @ 8.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.72%
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 12.75%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray20173053223154
2Fenerbahce20153252203248
3Samsunspor20124434191540
4EyupsporEyupspor20106433191436
5Goztepe SKGoztepe SK20104640261434
6BesiktasBesiktas208842921832
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul208573530529
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor208392231-927
9GaziantepGaziantep207582628-226
10TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1967634241025
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor206772428-425
12KasimpasaKasimpasa2051053237-525
13SivassporSivasspor206592634-823
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor2064102239-1722
15KonyasporKonyaspor205692432-821
16Bodrumspor2044121426-1216
17KayserisporKayserispor193791939-2016
18Hatayspor2017122137-1610
19Adana Demirspor2022161745-285


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