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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Bahçelievler İl Özel İdare Stadyumu

Istanbulspor
1 - 2
Ankaragucu

Ethemi (55')
Sarikaya (14'), Ethemi (29')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kilinc (16'), Sowe (90+1')
Pepe (80'), Gureler (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbulspor and Ankaragucu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-2 Istanbul
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbulspor 2-1 Ankaragucu

Although Istanbulspor are still searching for their first home win of the season, they are unbeaten in their last four matches, and we think that they will continue their promising run of form by claiming a narrow victory over an Ankaragucu side who have lost all three of their away games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.

Result
IstanbulsporDrawAnkaragucu
32.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.95% (0.035 0.04) 41.88% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.56% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.33% (-0.141 -0.14)50.67% (0.144 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (-0.123 -0.12)72.57% (0.125 0.13)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.45% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)29.55% (0.066999999999997 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)65.58% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)23.98% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.78% (-0.116 -0.12)58.22% (0.11900000000001 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Istanbulspor 32.18%
    Ankaragucu 41.87%
    Draw 25.94%
IstanbulsporDrawAnkaragucu
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.18%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 10.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 41.87%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray17152049202947
2Fenerbahce17123242162639
3Samsunspor18103432181433
4EyupsporEyupspor1886429191030
5BesiktasBesiktas188642820830
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK178453223928
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul177552823526
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor187381927-824
9GaziantepGaziantep176472426-222
10KasimpasaKasimpasa174942425-121
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor175661820-221
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor176382132-1121
13KonyasporKonyaspor175571925-620
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor174762524119
15SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
16KayserisporKayserispor183771734-1716
17Bodrumspor1843111425-1115
18Hatayspor1816111631-159
19Adana Demirspor1722131537-225


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