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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi (Istanbul)

Karagumruk
2 - 3
Kasimpasa

Ceccherini (43'), Sturaro (89')
Ceccherini (10'), Biraschi (81'), Atakan Kesgin (84')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ceccherini (3' og.), Kara (6', 34')
Ozcan (45+1'), Omeruo (84'), Cetinkaya (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pendikspor 1-1 Karagumruk
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-1 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-1 Kasimpasa

Fatih Karagumruk have a very impressive recent record against Kasimpasa, but they have made a slow start to the season, collecting just two points from their opening three away games. The visitors have drawn their other two away games this season, and it would not be a surprise if the spoils are shared again on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKasimpasa
35.09% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 24.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 40.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.42% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)44.72% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)67.09% (0.09899999999999 0.1)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)24.89% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49% (-0.073 -0.07)59.51% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)22.23% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)55.65% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 35.09%
    Kasimpasa 40.16%
    Draw 24.76%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKasimpasa
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.09%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.76%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.16%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Kasimpasa

Fatih Karagumruk
45.2%
Draw
32.3%
Kasimpasa
22.6%
31
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Karagumruk
3-0
Kasimpasa
Lobzhanidze (14'), Diagne (67', 82')
Bertolacci (34'), Feghouli (74'), Diagne (82')

Ozcan (47')
Jan 15, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 19
Kasimpasa
2-2
Karagumruk
Hadergjonaj (30' pen.), Bahoken (90+10')
Dresevic (51'), Borini (61')
Apr 9, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 32
Karagumruk
3-2
Kasimpasa
Ugur (31'), Pesic (38'), Bistrovic (72')
Durmaz (10'), Ugur (66'), Mor (90+6')
Serbest (67'), Muleka (82')
Elmali (40'), Serbest (45'), Spajic (57')
Nov 21, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 13
Kasimpasa
1-3
Karagumruk
Erdogan (32')
Travnik (31')
Brecka (1' og.), Karamoh (20'), Pesic (27' pen.)
Mor (45+1'), Oztumer (45+4'), Zukanovic (60'), Biglia (90')
Eggen Hedenstad (90+4'), Biglia (90+7')
Feb 20, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 26
Kasimpasa
3-2
Karagumruk
Kiese Thelin (20'), Erdogan (59', 69')
Bistrovic (75')
Roco (14'), Castro (80')
Bertolacci (24'), Altinay (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray19163052223051
2Fenerbahce19143249183145
3Samsunspor19114432181437
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK19104538231534
5EyupsporEyupspor1996432191333
6BesiktasBesiktas198742820831
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul198563125629
8GaziantepGaziantep197572526-126
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1967634241025
10Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor197391929-1024
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor195771924-522
12KasimpasaKasimpasa1941052733-622
13KonyasporKonyaspor195682431-721
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor1963102138-1721
15SivassporSivasspor195592132-1120
16Bodrumspor1944111425-1116
17KayserisporKayserispor183781734-1716
18Hatayspor1917111732-1510
19Adana Demirspor1922151542-275


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