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Istanbul Basaksehir
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2025 at 4pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
4 - 0
Samsunspor

Piatek (19', 58', 69'), Davidson (86')
Turuc (21'), Crespo (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)

van Drongelen (25'), Cift (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Samsunspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alanyaspor 5-4 Istanbul
Saturday, January 25 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-1 Gaziantep
Friday, January 24 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 1-1 Samsunspor

Samsunspor's strong form means they are the favourites for this clash – however, their recent away form suggests that this game could be a close one, which is why we are predicting a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawSamsunspor
48.72% (-0.167 -0.17) 25% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.28% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.28% (0.181 0.18)49.72% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27% (0.162 0.16)71.73% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)52.88% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (0.245 0.25)33.37% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (0.267 0.27)70% (-0.267 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 48.72%
    Samsunspor 26.28%
    Draw 25%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawSamsunspor
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.72%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 26.28%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Samsunspor

Istanbul Basaksehir
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Samsunspor
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 3
Samsunspor
2-0
Istanbul
Mouandilmadji (65'), Van Drongelen (72')
Yavru (34'), Kilinc (68'), Mouandilmadji (76'), Bola (90+6'), Yuksel (90+3')

Duarte (49'), Ozdemir (90+6')
Mar 3, 2024 10.30am
Gameweek 28
Istanbul
1-0
Samsunspor
Aleksic (47')

Antalyali (69'), Celik (76'), van Drongelen (83')
Mouandilmadji (34')
Oct 22, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Samsunspor
0-0
Istanbul
Kilinc (41'), Mouandilmadji (82')
Dubois (51'), Ba (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray22193055223360
2Fenerbahce22173257223554
3Samsunspor22134536231343
4EyupsporEyupspor22116534201439
5BesiktasBesiktas22108433221138
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK22105740271335
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul239683931833
8KasimpasaKasimpasa2271054042-231
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor2278736261029
10GaziantepGaziantep228592830-229
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor227782530-528
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor2283112637-1127
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor2376102642-1627
14KonyasporKonyaspor2266102936-724
15SivassporSivasspor2365122739-1223
16Bodrumspor2355131629-1320
17KayserisporKayserispor214892241-1920
18Hatayspor2217142342-1910
19Adana Demirspor2323182152-313


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