Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.