Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Basel in this match.