MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 13:02:02| >> :60:491:491:
Porto
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Mafra

Porto
2 - 2
Mafra

Pepe (48'), Martinez (70')
Uribe (26'), (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fati (16'), Ferreira (42' pen.)
Almeida (29'), Ferreira (44'), Pacheco (72'), Silva (80'), Oliveira (84'), Barcelos (84'), Banguera (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Taca da Liga clash between Porto and Mafra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last Game: Boavista 1-4 Porto
Saturday, November 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Mafra

All competitions
Last Game: Mafra 0-3 Porto
Tuesday, November 8 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Porto 3-0 Mafra

 While Mafra will be looking to stun the hosts, they take on an in-form Porto side who are currently firing on all cylinders. While the hosts will be without several players who are in Qatar, they still possess the firepower needed to get the job done and we predict they will claim all three points on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 7.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.19%) and 1-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Mafra win it was 0-1 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawMafra
78.66% (-0.279 -0.28) 14.03% (0.168 0.17) 7.31% (0.1139 0.11)
Both teams to score 44.73% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.88% (-0.385 -0.38)37.12% (0.387 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.69% (-0.419 -0.42)59.32% (0.422 0.42)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.43% (-0.142 -0.14)7.57% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.89% (-0.375 -0.38)27.11% (0.377 0.38)
Mafra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.39% (0.024999999999999 0.02)51.61% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02)85.75% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Porto 78.65%
    Mafra 7.31%
    Draw 14.03%
PortoDrawMafra
2-0 @ 13.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 11.19% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.22% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.78% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.73% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.47% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.6% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 78.65%
1-1 @ 6.67% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.85% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 14.03%
0-1 @ 2.59% (0.05 0.05)
1-2 @ 2.21% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 7.31%

How you voted: Porto vs Mafra

Porto
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Mafra
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 8.45pm
Mafra
0-3
Porto
Marcano (7'), Eustaquio (38'), Galeno (73')
Eustaquio (24')
rhs 2.0
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