We said: Porto 3-0 Mafra
While Mafra will be looking to stun the hosts, they take on an in-form Porto side who are currently firing on all cylinders. While the hosts will be without several players who are in Qatar, they still possess the firepower needed to get the job done and we predict they will claim all three points on Friday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.19%) and 1-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Mafra win it was 0-1 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.