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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Estrela Amadora

Gil Vicente
3 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Correia (9'), Fujimoto (33'), Aguirre de Cespedes (82')
Garcia Gonzalez (56'), Aguirre de Cespedes (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jesus (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, September 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Moreirense
Saturday, September 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-1 Estrela Amadora

Even though Estrela should take confidence from last week's victory, they may have to settle for a point in their visit to Gil Vicente. The home side have suffered heavy losses to two possible title contenders but have competed commendably in their other five Liga matches. This one could end with both sides sharing the spoils in Barcelos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawEstrela Amadora
56.72% (-0.49100000000001 -0.49) 24.01% (0.336 0.34) 19.26% (0.155 0.15)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.727 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29% (-1.097 -1.1)52.71% (1.098 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65% (-0.948 -0.95)74.34% (0.949 0.95)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (-0.589 -0.59)18.42% (0.589 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (-1.005 -1.01)49.58% (1.006 1.01)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.27% (-0.466 -0.47)41.73% (0.467 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.8% (-0.409 -0.41)78.2% (0.41 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 56.72%
    Estrela Amadora 19.26%
    Draw 24.01%
Gil VicenteDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 13% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 11% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 56.72%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.69% (0.329 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.204 0.2)
1-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.26%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Estrela Amadora

Gil Vicente
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Estrela Amadora
0.0%
6
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 34
Estrela Amadora
1-0
Gil Vicente
Kikas (24')
N'do (62'), Bucca (90+4'), Nanu (90+4')
Jaba (90+7')

Pereira (90+7')
Jan 14, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 17
Gil Vicente
1-1
Estrela Amadora
Pereira (12')
Pereira (45+4'), Marlon (77')
N'do (88')
Mendes (6'), Pereira Martins (56'), N'do (76'), Kikas (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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