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[monks data]
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11.20pm UK
BMO Field
Orlando City

Toronto
0 - 2
Orlando City

FT(HT: 0-0)
McGuire (63', 74')

Preview: Toronto vs. Orlando City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Another disappointing MLS campaign for Toronto will end on Saturday when they host Orlando City at BMO Field.

Heading into the final game of the regular season, the Reds are on a six-match losing run as they were beaten 3-0 by the New York Red Bulls in their previous encounter, while the Lions have won three in a row, squeaking past the New England Revolution 3-2.


Match preview

Toronto FC forward Federico Bernardeschi (10) receives a red card on July 4, 2023© Reuters

Saturday is Decision Day in MLS, though, in Toronto, there is nothing left to decide as they are assured of finishing dead-last in the overall table with just 22 points domestically thus far.

Even though this weekend spells the end of the season for the Reds, the club will hope it is just the beginning of their resurgence as John Herdman will be in the TFC dugout as head coach for the first time.

Herdman has transformed both the Canadian men's and women's national teams before, but his first club-level coaching experience could prove to be his most daunting task yet.

In 33 league fixtures this season, the Reds have only claimed four victories, all on home soil, though even if they triumph on Saturday, Toronto would still equal a club record for the fewest victories in a single MLS campaign set in 2012 (five).

Last season, this team conceded the third-most goals in the regular season (66), and in 2023, that backline has not been much better, giving up 57 thus far, with only the Los Angeles Galaxy allowing more (63).

Toronto have not just been losing a lot this season, but lately, they have struggled to put up much of a fight, with four of their last five MLS defeats being by three or more goals.

Orlando City SC forward Facundo Torres (17) celebrates after scoring a goal on September 3, 2023© Reuters

Over in the Sunshine State, the mood is a lot higher than the one at TFC, with the Lions unbeaten in their last four domestic outings and assured of finishing second in the Eastern Conference, the highest-ever finish for them in MLS.

Oscar Pareja has transformed this team, who narrowly sneaked into the post-season in 2021 and 22, into a contender that will begin the playoffs at home for the first time since 2020.

One area that has seen drastic improvements through the 2023 campaign has been their clinical finishing in the attacking third, with Orlando on 53 goals this season, two fewer than their best-ever MLS mark in 2016 and already nine more than they had a year ago.

Building a lead at the interval and playing a tight defensive system in the second half has been pivotal to their success, with this team unbeaten domestically all year when leading after 45 minutes.

With 60 points, the Lions have already set a new MLS club record in a single campaign, but if they can claim another three, Orlando City would surpass their all-time best mark from 2012 when they claimed 62 points in the USL Pro League.

Orlando have won the last three meetings versus the Reds by a 9-0 margin and have not lost an MLS match against them in Toronto since 2018 (2-1).

Toronto Major League Soccer form:

Orlando City Major League Soccer form:


Team News

Toronto FC forward Deandre Kerr (29) celebrates a goal with his teammates on September 17, 2023© Reuters

Numerous Toronto players are likely to be unavailable for their final MLS fixture of the year, with Raoul Petretta (back spasms), Deandre Kerr (back spasms) Brandon Servania (lower body), Sigurd Rosted (lower body), Lorenzo Insigne (lower body), Adama Diomande (lower body), Themi Antonoglou (lower body), Greg Ranjitsingh (knee surgery) Sean Johnson (hand surgery) and Latif Blessing (concussion protocol) all dealing with injuries, while Michael Bradley has announced his retirement following their game on Saturday.

Interim manager Terry Dunfield made three changes to the starting 11 in his final match at the helm as Shane O'Neill, Franco Ibarra and Prince Owusu came in for Rosted, Victor Vazquez and Hugo Mbongue.

Toronto have not found the back of the net since their previous home fixture versus FC Cincinnati when Jonathan Osorio notched a brace in a 3-2 defeat, putting the Canadian international one behind Kerr and Federico Bernardeschi for the team lead this season.

Orlando could be missing two players for this encounter as Favian Loyola has a sore left arm and Adam Grinwis is unlikely to feature because of a left thigh injury.

In their previous fixture, Duncan McGuire notched his 13th of the year across all competitions, having netted in back-to-back MLS fixtures, Facundo Torres scored his team-leading 14th of the domestic campaign, Ivan Angulo put home his fifth in league play, while Mauricio Pereyra picked up his 11th and 12th assists of the regular season.

Rodrigo Schlegel picked up his 100th cap for the Lions in all competitions against New England, while Dan Thorhallsson was back in the starting 11 for that encounter after beginning their previous match versus Nashville SC (1-0 win) on the bench.

Toronto possible starting lineup:
Gavran; O'Neill, Bradley, Mabika, Marshall-Rutty; Gutierrez, Osorio, Vazquez, Coello; Owusu, Mailula

Orlando City possible starting lineup:
Stajduhar; Smith, Schlegel, Jansson, Santos; Araujo, Urso; Torres, Pereyra, Angulo; McGuire


SM words green background

We say: Toronto 1-2 Orlando City

We want to think having nothing to lose and being under new management would change the Reds' fate this weekend, but there is just too much working against the home side in all areas of the field for us to believe they can claim even a single point out of nowhere.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.

For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.

Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data


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Game History

How you voted: Toronto vs Orlando City

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Draw
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Orlando City
60.0%
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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