We said: Orlando City 2-1 Columbus Crew
Strong home form makes Orlando the favourites for this one, as they are unbeaten in nine at the Exploria Stadium.
Five wins in a row here against Columbus is another positive omen, but they have all been by one-goal margins, so another close encounter could be in store between two in-form sides.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.